Saturday, September 10, 2011

Economics: Australia and the GFC

Hello everybody, and welcome again to another riveting episode of "The HSC with AB." Today, I'll be breaking the pattern of my last two posts, in that instead of a specific dot point, I'll be synthesising (ooh, I know my English key words) a couple of different points into one big overarching post: how Australia survived the GFC.

For those who don't do Economics, feel free to skip this one, but I will say that I think Economics is one of the topics that is a good thing to know at least a little about. I mean, no matter what you do, you will be getting money. The economy will affect you. Knowing the Haber process: probably not. But I digress. In this post, I'll be first going through the two arms of macroeconomics in monetary and fiscal policy, and then onto microeconomics, and finally onto our links to Asia. If none of that made any sense to you, don't worry: it will.

To those who do do Economics, I will point out that a) I'm not using too much terminology, as it can get rather confusing at times (though rest assured I do know it) and b) I very well may have missed some things - in fact I probably have: there's no real dot point I'm working from. In which case, feel free to comment.

Macroeconomics is the part of economics concerned with overall demand. It has two arms: monetary and fiscal policy (more on the latter later). Monetary policy is, more or less, the setting of interest rates by the RBA to alter inflation by changing demand (broadly, increasing demand causes prices to increase, also known as inflation). From 1996 to 2002, interest rates tended to go down, which boosted the economy. At around about 2002, however, the RBA decided to start increasing interest rates - slowly, at about a quarter percent per time, but they started to go up, in an attempt to slow the economy down. The reason is that if the economy starts expanding (as it was doing before the GFC), eventually the bubble can burst and there is a crash. For that reason, the RBA had interest rates at 7.25% when the GFC hit.

In August 2008, the cash rate was at 7.25%. Eight months later, in April, it was at 3%. By comparison, in the eight months before August '08, the cash rate had only gone up 1%. While 3% may seem low, other countries had their cash rates much lower to try and stimulate their economy. In April 2009, the US had their cash rate at 0.25%, the UK was at 0.5%, the EU had 1.25% and 1.5% (it is the EU, after all), and Japan's was at 0.1%. Our interest rate was somewhat high compared to Western economies (I've intentionally not mentioned China: more on that later), and that was a result of some of our other policies. While monetary policy played a large role, it wasn't alone.

Fiscal policy played a large role as well. From 1998 to mid-2008, the government ran a surplus, just because of how strong the economy was (as a rule of thumb, the better the economy is, the more the government receives in tax and the less it needs to spend). And it used that surplus to pay back some of the money it had borrowed over the years - so much so, that the government debt to GDP was about 8%. In comparison to 45% for the UK, 60% for the US, 65% for the EU and 190% for Japan (that was not a typo). So when the GFC rolled around, the government had enough money to actually go out and do something.

Which it did. The government started pumping money into the economy in an attempt to increase demand. It ran a huge deficit in an attempt to reverse the effects of the GFC. You may remember the $42 billion stimulus package in 2009, which was intended to increase spending which would increase aggregate demand, helping the economy. You will note that our economy didn't actually go into recession. This was at least partly due to fiscal policy.

Next we move onto microeconomics, which is the part of economics that deals with supply. What this mostly involves are things like infrastructure and training programs. When the GFC hit, the Rudd government put a lot of money into microeconomic reform, as it's called (a more detailed list here), including $2 billion in infrastructure such as road and rails, and almost $1.7 billion in training programs and higher education. The upshot was that improvement of infrastructure helped business make more and be more efficient (thus allowing them to hire more) and training programs allowed unemployed people gain more skills and re-enter the workforce.

This microeconomic reform meant that unemployment growth was slowed, and it reversed much quicker. Unemployment hit a maximum of 5.8% in Australia, while in the US and EU, it reached over 10%. And, on top of all that, employment helps with an increase in demand (the more people hired, the more people spending), which, as I've said, improves the economy.

Lastly, I'll mention our links to Asia, and specifically, China. China survived the GFC better than Australia did (yes, their growth rate did drop - to 6%, which was more than ours was before the GFC), and that was great news for our export sector. Australia mostly exports commodities, like coal and iron, and China imports a lot of commodities. Hence, when the GFC hit, we survived more or less intact, since China just kept buying our coal and iron and Australia just kept selling it to them. If we had mostly been selling to Europe and the US as we had done before we realigned our interests to Asia, we probably wouldn't have done nearly as well.

Well, in the words of Forrest Gump, 'That's all I have to say about that.' Before I go though, I will link you to some marvelous videos I found which Ebony would approve of, as they are by the vlogbrothers, which I've heard she likes just a little bit. The two videos I found were explanations for the Greek debt crisis and the American debt crisis, and they were very informative. Next post I'm thinking I might do an English post (the horror!). But we'll see.

Have a nice weekend,
AB

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Chemistry: The Haber Process

Welcome, readers, to another exciting instalment of "The HSC with AB," where I'll be doing my first post on Chemistry, which is most likely my worst subject bar Extension 2. Today I'll be going through the Haber process, which is the process which synthesises ammonia (NH3) from nitrogen and hydrogen. I decided to do a bit about the Haber process today because it's one that I'm having some trouble with, and there's a whole section in Chemical Monitoring and Management dedicated to it. It's an important one.

The Haber process was invented by a German chemist, Fritz Haber, in the 1900s (this is a dot point we need to know, and I'll try to make it as exciting as I can.). Before 1914, ammonia was mainly used in fertilisers, and Germany was the only one synthesising it, as Britain was having it imported. Then WWI rolled around, and ammonia needed to be used in explosives. Now, usually Germany would not have been able to produce ammonia, and might not have been able to fight in the war, but thanks to Fritz Haber, it could suddenly generate a lot of the stuff. So now it could fight in WWI.

Clearly, ammonia was very important in world history.

Now our history lesson is out of the way, we can get to the science involved. Ammonia, nowadays, is used in industry, most commonly in the production of fertilisers, plastics, cleaners, and non-ionic detergents, and as such, is pretty important in day-to-day life.

The Haber process can be summarised as N2 (g) + 3H2 (g) 2NH3 (g) [ΔH = —92 kJ/mol], but it's a lot more detailed than that (that was an equilbrium symbol, by the way. It doesn't show up brilliantly, but it's the best I can get). There's a lot of stuff to be absorbed here, but I don't think much of it is particularly difficult. So, with that in mind, let's get to the Haber process.

First, we need our nitrogen and our hydrogen. Nitrogen is easy to get: you breathe it. Air is mostly nitrogen, and so all that really needs to be done is getting the oxygen out of it, leaving the nitrogen. We do this by burning methane: CH4 + 3O2 → CO2 + H2O. Hydrogen is also, funnily enough, generated using methane, except we react it with steam: CH4 + 2H2O → CO2 + 3H2. And then we filter out the carbon dioxide and trace gases (more on why that is later), and we have our nitrogen and hydrogen.

So now we get into the Haber process itself. This can seem confusing at first, since textbooks like to have overly complex diagrams, so I found this one to the right on the net. It's just that simple. What the syllabus needs though, is an explanation of that diagram, so let's get to it.

Firstly, the simple stuff. The pressure is 200 atm because it favours the product side of the reaction. Le Chatelier's Principle 101. Moving along. The catalyst, Fe3O4 or magnetite, is there because it speeds the reaction up (by lowering the activation energy). Easy. The ratio of N2:H2 is kept at 1:3, so all the reactants are used up. Ammonia is also regularly removed, as this shifts equilibrium to the right, as per Le Chatelier's Principle.

Now, the tricky part. You'll notice that the temperature is 400°C. While that is fairly hot, it's not very hot (for industrial production). This is because an increase in heat does two things to this reaction. First, it speeds it up (that's basic chemistry), but it also favours the reactant side of the equation, due to the fact that this reaction is an exothermic one (Le Chatelier's Principle strikes again). Something's gotta give. So in order to balance out reaction rate and yield for maximum production, the process is kept at a moderate 400°C.

Finally, we need our monitoring part of the Haber process. This is fairly straightforward. Temperature, pressure, and the ratio of the reactants all have to be monitored for the reasons above. The produced ammonia needs to be monitored to ensure sufficient quality. The process also needs to be monitored to remove unwanted gases. Argon and methane will lower the efficiency of the process (if they're there, nitrogen and hydrogen aren't). CO, CO2 and sulfur compounds will "poison" the catalyst. Oxygen can react explosively. We definitely don't want these gases in.

OK, I think that about does it for the Haber process. I think this went a little better than MRI yesterday, if only because MRI is very complex at times, and this isn't as much. I sure learnt something, and I hope you did too. Remember to comment!

As always,
AB

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Physics: MRI

Kicking the study part off in "The HSC with AB" is fittingly, my favourite subject, Physics. While I have complained a small amount about doing Medical Physics instead of From Quanta to Quarks, I do understand that there are a lot of people (read: Asians) who want to be doctors, so they really don't have that much of a choice. Please note that I like to have a lot of paragraphs, to avoid a wall of text that a) won't look too appealing and b) will not help divide potentially long-winded explanations. Bite-sized chunks is what I'm aiming for.

Today I'm going to be looking at MRI, which is quite possibly one of the most complex things we've done in Physics so far, but I think seems a lot harder than it actually is. That's not to say it's not difficult, but it's not rocket surgery.

MRI is, in short, measuring the magnetic properties of hydrogen nuclei (or, protons) in water molecules in a patient. As different parts of the body have different water contents, each part of the body has different concentrations of hydrogen nuclei. This in turn means each part of the body has different magnetic properties, and as such, MRI can produce a three-dimensional image of the body. It's a little more complicated than that, obviously, but that's the nuts and bolts of it. If you take this much out of this post, I consider my work done (no, not really. But I figure it's a good introduction to a complex subject.).

I'm going to be using a lot of terminology in this, so allow me to preface with some definitions. Firstly, when I say antiparallel, I don't mean perpendicular. I mean parallel in the opposite direction. Secondly, precession is the rotation of an axis of a rotating object. While that may sound confusing, imagine a top, or, better yet, look to the right. That's precession. Lastly, a voxel is like a three-dimensional pixel. A cube instead of a square (if you play Minecraft, imagine every cube is a voxel.) OK, with that out of the way, let's jump into MRI.

Firstly, the patient lies inside the MRI machine, with an intense magnetic field parallel to the body (called the longitudinal direction, or the Z-axis). The protons in the water molecules will tend to align their spins with the field (imagine a top spinning. It tends to align its spin with gravity. A similar thing is happening here.). Most of the protons will align parallel, but some will align antiparallel.

Radio waves are then passed through the patient. This causes two things. One, it causes an equal number of protons to align parallel and antiparallel to the field. Two, the precession of the protons synchronises.

That might seem confusing (and if it doesn't, congratulations), but I'll try to explain better. I want you to stand up and move your arms in circles, almost like you are doing the butterfly (the swimming style that everybody hates). Your arms are now the protons. There is, as you can see, an equal number of protons parallel and antiparallel to the field (one arm each). Also, the precession of the protons is synchronised (your arms are moving together at the same rate).

OK, back to our MRI machine, and back to our protons. These synchronised, precessing protons produce a net rotating magnetic field. This is entirely in the XY plane (if you like, imagine a string connecting your hands and rotate your arms). This produces a changing flux in the detecting coils which, if we know our Motors and Generators, produces a current.

Now, in our MRI machine, the radio waves stop. This reverses what happened when we applied our radio pulse earlier. Firstly, the protons with antiparallel spins revert back to having parallel spins over time, causing a longitudinal component to emerge. The time it takes for this component to emerge is called T1. Secondly, the precessing protons desynchronise, making the rotating magnetic field in the XY plane disappear. The time it takes for this to happen is called T2. These will become much more important later, but for now, we need to look at one more part of the MRI machine: the gradient coils.

These gradient coils simply produce a weak magnetic field which slightly alters the strong magnetic field of the MRI machine from point-to-point inside the patient. This means that at every point in the patient, the magnetic behaviour of the protons is different. Now here's the good part: this changes the T1 and T2 values in each voxel (if you're confused, look back at the definitions). The detectors can measure these differences and so can differentiate between the properties of each voxel.

What does this mean? Every mm3 of space has slightly different properties which, when fed into the computer, can be calculated. This produces a high-resolution, three-dimensional image of the inside of a patient.

To summarise: a powerful magnetic field, combined with a pulse of radio waves, generates a rotating magnetic field. When a weaker, gradient field is applied, it slightly alters the rotating magnetic field from point-to-point, which can be detected and processed to produce a detailed 3D image.

This may seem very confusing, and you may not get it all in the one go. It introduces a lot of new ideas, and not simple ones either. I would suggest taking a break, letting your mind take in some of the info, and coming back when you're ready. There's not going to be a test tomorrow (unless you're reading this November 3, in which case, good luck!).

For those weirdos who need impacts on society, MRI is very safe since it doesn't use dangerous ionising radiation like X-rays. It is expensive though, since it uses superconductors and liquid helium.

OK, I think this about wraps up MRI. If I've missed anything important, or if I've got something wrong, or if you've found an easier way to explain something, or anything really, then please let me know in the comments below.

With MRI ticked off the list,
AB

Monday, September 5, 2011

Introduction and Thesis

Hello all, and welcome to The HSC with AB. In this, I'll be going through the HSC, or at least my courses.

But first, a little backstory. I have a real problem with studying. I have some trouble concentrating on one thing at a time, and if something is monotonous, so much the worse. During the month or so of study between the end of Term 3 and November 4 (my last exam), I need to buckle down and concentrate on two subjects a day, for three hours apiece, every day, according to my timetable.

You can see a problem here.

Hence, I need something that is productive but also doesn't feel like just reading from my study notes, compiling flashcards, doing practice exams, and so on. Thus, this blog is born.

So now we come to the purpose of the blog. I will be putting up interesting areas of study, picking out points of weakness, producing theses, analysing notes and exams: in short, this will be my own "study buddy" and record of work all rolled up into one big package. While it won't be my primary way of studying (that would be tantamount to suicide), I'm hoping it will be nonetheless an effective tool.

This, reader, is where you come in. This blog is more or less pointless without some sort of reader interface in which you can suggest ways to improve on notes I've made, introduce new lines of thinking, and, of course, criticise, criticise, criticise. In return, I'm hoping this blog will do the same for you. In the words of Mr. Gippel, 'A rising tide lifts all boats.' I'm hoping this blog will be at least a part of that rising tide.

We are no longer competing. So let us work together.

I'm hoping that through this blog, I will improve my study pattern, get better marks, and make it through the HSC. With any luck, this blog will make this coming month a more productive one. For me and for you.

To a brighter five weeks of study,
AB